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k8凯发官方网CIPAS30——气候预测的“金刚钻”
行业动态 / 2024-08-07 15:43:04

  多源数据支撑-CIPAS3▲◆▲=.0集成了高密站点○★-、CRA40◆○◇▲、BCC_CPSv3等40余种观测●◇-•△▼、再分析和模式数据▷=…□◆,实现涵盖陆面□□☆-、海洋★◇=▽…、大气◆◁▲◁◁、季风等600多种产品的全球精密监测==◇•▼,增强了自主业务全球监测预测能力▲…=▼○,而且国产再分析数据●□、卫星数据和模式数据的应用很好地避免了国外的…-▷“卡脖子◇▷★▪”哦▽◆…;

  多圈层气候监测——CIPAS3▼★◇-.0全面实现了气候系统多圈层监测--◆…▷,可以实时监测海洋•-☆★▼、海冰○=、积雪▽-◇□、大气环流等等的状态及演变信息▼•-■,让◁□◆◇“数字▼•”地球气候系统尽在掌握□◆。

  经过迭代发展△•☆☆■□,CIPAS3▪■-=◁.0实现了气候系统多圈层监测-◁◆◆▪▪、由气象要素到气候灾害的预测▪▲•□■•、多维度的诊断分析•◆▷•★◇、国省协同的预测产品制作…○●、实时的气候预测检验=★○△-、交互分析和全流程系统管理与监控等共计800余项业务功能•▪☆•■。CIPAS3▲◁▲.0发展了海量气候时空数据高效管理-•▲□▼、标准化定量监测=□、多模式集合预测--★■、人工智能信息挖掘▲★-■、气候监测预测业务功能国省一体化-▼、图文产品生成智能化…○▪▲-★、交互分析多维可视化•●▷…◇、多源气候信息集约化集成等多项关键技术▲•●▷•▼,形成了新一代全面云化的气候监测预测业务系统□○★▽•。

  CIPAS3=•.0首次实现了预测产品制作国省协同和一体化业务流程k8凯发官方网◇◆=▪▷、气候诊断分析向多维动态显示并形成一张图的能力…■◇★,气候预测检验向综合化●◇▼☆、规范化和实时化迈进▲••▷□-,气候信息交互分析内容更丰富-◇★◁,全流程业务监控和系统安全管理性能大幅提升◇★▲,有力地提升了气候业务精密监测和精准预测的支撑能力■-。

  ●△●◆△□“工欲善其事▪◁•,必先利其器=●”…☆■◆。CIPAS3◁-△.0正是科学家用来做好气候预测的△=“金刚钻◁=◁▷”=-△■▪◇。CIPAS3□□•.0是国家气候中心研发的新一代气候监测预测分析系统□◇◆□▪◆,目前已经发展到第三代▷○■□,经过多年持续迭代发展▲▲▽□☆,已经成功投入业务应用•◆,是现代气候业务发展的主要成果之一▲◁▷△•…,在国内处于领先水平△▷…,在国际上也是少有的高度集约化的气候业务平台之一…▪•□▲。

  多维度诊断分析——CIPAS3▼★-.0集成了合成分析▪…◆△、相关分析●★、EOF分解等多种诊断分析工具▼●,基于这些工具……□▼△,科学家可以快速▼▲○△“诊断--◁■◁”气候异常成因◆■,从而更好地做好预测○◆•…。

  全面提升了系统研发★□□▽、运行和管理效率△△▪,大气环流异常的监测诊断及趋势预测=□▼▷,CIPAS3▪□◁.0作为国省气候业务的最为核心的日常业务平台=-●,如新疆=•□、河南等5省的本地化功能集成应用◇=△,高温☆◇☆、低温=◆•◁、强降水▽▽=、大气污染等次季节预测…-=▲。

  不要问我从哪里来…•◁□,我的家在▼•“天擎●☆○=▼”◁▽•☆◇。CIPAS3○☆●△-.0按照中国气象局信息系统集约化要求•●◇☆=,坚持以需求为牵引○▼•,以预报员为中心的原则▼●,遵循创新○=■、协同★★…、绿色…••、开放▽=□…、共享的设计理念△▪▲◇▼■,率先实现了从数据▼★▷▪、算法-★、平台以及监控等全流程融入气象大数据云平台▽★•…■△,成为了首个建立●□“云+端▷△…•△”的气候监测预测业务技术架构☆★,实现41类数据▼◁、164个算法▲★□◆、355个流程△◁★、2154个任务▪■△▷、7000多类产品全部融入△○“天擎▷☆”□…◆□□。依托着●■▲“天擎◇…”的多源数据○▷•★•、强大算力和全流程的实时监控●△-□,CIPAS3△●■.0的●=••▷“一举一动★□▲■”都能清晰可见•△◇•◁=,保证了其安全运行●…▽●。

  现在的CIPAS仍然伴随着气候业务高质量发展而不断的升级完善▪•□,期待有朝一日由○★▪●“金刚钻••◆★”发展成□▽▽★“大国重器▲△◆■”-▲●▽△★。

  厄尔尼诺来了◇▲•◇★、夏季长江流域多雨◁=•▷=、冬天可能是暖冬……我们常常在新闻媒体上看到诸如此类的关于未来气候的报道=▷▲◇。

  开展了基于大数据云平台的本地化功能扩展与集成应用=△▼•-,气温•△=、降水要素监测预测以及高温◁•☆▽=•、强降水k8凯发官方网▽▽、强降温●□、大气污染过程预测等方面提供了重要的应用支撑□-○▼…▽。系统在国家级业务单位延伸期-年际气候预测业务中对海温■★•▼、海冰▪●□◆、积雪等下垫面异常监测及气候影响□•□●□▪,其生成的监测▪••、诊断□★、预测产品在延伸期•▲=◆、月•■○◇、季预测▪▲•△○◁、汛期和年度等气候大会商=▪○▲▷、重大决策服务▼☆◇=●、公众服务■○-□•▷、专业服务等业务中发挥了重要支撑作用○▪△□☆◆!

  多时空尺度气候预测——CIPAS3▽○◁◁.0集成了从15天-年尺度全球范围内基本气象要素无缝隙预测-◆▼,省级业务单位也在CIPAS3=▪▼.0系统框架支持下▼=○,并起到了技术示范◇▪☆…、合作示范和业务示范的作用☆☆☆▪▷=。极大增强了气候灾害事件预测能力◁□●-▪•;CIPAS3◁●▽▽.0还通过国家气候中心的对外产品服务网●=、BCC网站▼▷=△△•、微信公众号提供了大气污染趋势预测▪★◇、气温◁◁□•◆、降水预测等分析产品▽●••◁★。